China’s passenger car sales rose 48 per cent in June from the same month last year, consolidating a remarkable recovery that has catapulted China to top position in the world vehicle market so far this year, according to semi-official data released on Thursday.
The strength of China’s vehicle sales – total vehicles sales rose 18 per cent for the first half year to 6.1m from the same period last year – has surprised auto market analysts, government officials and even the country’s automakers, many of whom are scrambling to produce enough vehicles to meet demand. Some auto dealerships have reported shortages of vehicles and western automakers, such as Volkswagen and General Motors, have had to sharply increase production at their Chinese joint ventures to meet local demand.
Like other sectors of the Chinese economy, car industry growth this year was jump-started by the government, which in January announced tax breaks on small cars and subsidies for vehicle purchases in rural areas.
But car segments that were not targeted by tax breaks or subsidies also saw strong growth in sales, auto industry analysts said on Thursday.
High levels of bank lending are also believed to have helped spur demand. China on Wednesday announced that new lending in the first half was Rmb7,400bn ($1,084bn), up 201 per cent year-on-year and equal to 150 per cent of full-year lending in 2008.
Lending for car purchases had not risen – most Chinese buyers buy vehicles with cash – but higher levels of liquidity in general fed through to more corporate purchases of vehicles, analysts said.
General consumer confidence was also a strong factor in sales growth, said Mike Dunne, of the auto consultancy JD Power in Shanghai.
“The government is putting out a strong message that the financial crisis is concentrated in the US, but we in China are doing just fine. The world might be hurting, but not us,” he said.
He added that the impact of that message on car buyers “should not be underestimated”.
JD Power recently revised its 2009 forecast for Chinese passenger car sales to 7m, from 5.8m at the beginning of the year, and said that a further upward revision is possible.
Total vehicle sales rose 36 per cent in June year-on-year, the official Xinhua news agency said on Thursday, quoting figures from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.
It was the fourth month in a row that sales had exceeded 1.1m units.
The strength of the Chinese market is providing a rare ray of hope for western automakers already operating in China, and attracting companies like Fiat, long a laggard in China, to the market.
Earlier this week, Fiat signed a joint venture agreement with Guangzhou Automobile Group to make cars and engines in China from 2011. Fiat and GAC said the venture would have the capacity to produce 140,000 cars and 220,000 engines per year initially, but could later be expanded to produce as much as 250,000 cars and 300,000 engines annually.
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China Shipping Container Lines Co. said it’s hard to predict if rates will keep rising because fees reflect demand.
By staff reporter Zhou Lingling
(Caijing.com.cn) Signs of a recovery in demand have prompted some global shipping firms, including China Shipping Container Lines Co. (SSE: 601866; HKSE: 02866), to raise rates on selected routes effective July 1.
CSCL’s investor relations office told Caijing that the carrier raised rates on China-Europe and China-Mediterranean routes by US$175 per twenty-foot equivalent unit to about US$400, with a further US$50 hike from July 15 in the pipeline. CSCL also raised rates on routes to Australia, Africa and the west coast of South America, the official said.
Meanwhile, container lines participating in the North Asia/New Zealand Discussion Agreement – an alliance formed as ‘a voluntary discussion forum’ – said rates on services linking China and South Korea with New Zealand will rise US$250 per TEU from July 15.
The Canada Westbound Transpacific Stabilization Agreement also said its members raised rates for dry containers by US$160 per TEU, effective July 1.
Neither organization disclosed the new rates.
Several container shipping lines had to abandon planned rate hikes in April amid a sluggish market.
According to the Shanghai Shipping Exchange, China’s export container shipping index closed at 769.05 points on July 3, up 0.8 percent week-on-week, ending several weeks of declines.
The exchange said in a report that traffic on routes to Europe grew significantly in the run-up to the traditional July-August peak season as domestic manufacturers accelerated production and shipments. But the exchange also said that current rates don’t cover shipping firms’ operating costs on services to Europe.
Li Pan, an analyst at Bank of China International, said in a recent report that shipping firms are expected to raise rates to offset rising costs during the peak season and into the third quarter.
With oil prices inching higher, shipping lines’ fuel surcharges are also rising.
An official from CSCL said the company will raise fuel surcharges on services to Europe and the Mediterranean by US$75 per TEU this month. The Asia-West Coast South America Freight Conference also said it will raise its bunker surcharge to US$522 from US$450, beginning July 15.
CSCL said it’s hard to predict if rates will keep rising because fees reflect demand. The global downturn has driven down container shipping traffic and rates.
CSCL’s net profit fell 96 percent last year to 131 million yuan, and it reported a net loss of 1.2 billion yuan in the first quarter of this year.
In Hong Kong on July 7, China Shipping Container was up 0.49 percent at HK$2.05, while in Shanghai its A shares were up 1.11 percent at 4.54 yuan.
China Shipping Container Lines Co. said it’s hard to predict if rates will keep rising because fees reflect demand.
By staff reporter Zhou Lingling
(Caijing.com.cn) Signs of a recovery in demand have prompted some global shipping firms, including China Shipping Container Lines Co. (SSE: 601866; HKSE: 02866), to raise rates on selected routes effective July 1.
CSCL’s investor relations office told Caijing that the carrier raised rates on China-Europe and China-Mediterranean routes by US$175 per twenty-foot equivalent unit to about US$400, with a further US$50 hike from July 15 in the pipeline. CSCL also raised rates on routes to Australia, Africa and the west coast of South America, the official said.
Meanwhile, container lines participating in the North Asia/New Zealand Discussion Agreement – an alliance formed as ‘a voluntary discussion forum’ – said rates on services linking China and South Korea with New Zealand will rise US$250 per TEU from July 15.
The Canada Westbound Transpacific Stabilization Agreement also said its members raised rates for dry containers by US$160 per TEU, effective July 1.
Neither organization disclosed the new rates.
Several container shipping lines had to abandon planned rate hikes in April amid a sluggish market.
According to the Shanghai Shipping Exchange, China’s export container shipping index closed at 769.05 points on July 3, up 0.8 percent week-on-week, ending several weeks of declines.
The exchange said in a report that traffic on routes to Europe grew significantly in the run-up to the traditional July-August peak season as domestic manufacturers accelerated production and shipments. But the exchange also said that current rates don’t cover shipping firms’ operating costs on services to Europe.
Li Pan, an analyst at Bank of China International, said in a recent report that shipping firms are expected to raise rates to offset rising costs during the peak season and into the third quarter.
With oil prices inching higher, shipping lines’ fuel surcharges are also rising.
An official from CSCL said the company will raise fuel surcharges on services to Europe and the Mediterranean by US$75 per TEU this month. The Asia-West Coast South America Freight Conference also said it will raise its bunker surcharge to US$522 from US$450, beginning July 15.
CSCL said it’s hard to predict if rates will keep rising because fees reflect demand. The global downturn has driven down container shipping traffic and rates.
CSCL’s net profit fell 96 percent last year to 131 million yuan, and it reported a net loss of 1.2 billion yuan in the first quarter of this year.
In Hong Kong on July 7, China Shipping Container was up 0.49 percent at HK$2.05, while in Shanghai its A shares were up 1.11 percent at 4.54 yuan.
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CHINESE manufacturing continued its growth momentum for the fourth straight month in June, reinforcing optimism that an economic recovery may be under way, two surveys showed yesterday.
The official Purchasing Managers Index, compiled by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing as a measure of the nation’s manufacturing activities, reached 53.2 last month following a reading of 53.1 in May and 53.5 in April.
The figure has been above 50 – the threshold denoting expansion – for four consecutive months.
In addition, the brokerage firm CLSA said yesterday its China PMI rose to 51.8 in June from 51.2 in May, the highest level since July last year and the third straight month for the index to record growth.
“After softening slightly in May, China’s official PMI improved again last month and showed sequential economic expansion. We take it as a signal that the green shoots of economic recovery have strengthened and are likely to blossom in the second half of 2009,” said Wang Qing, a Morgan Stanley economist.
“Continuity of accommodative monetary and financial conditions and follow-through in the implementation of the fiscal stimulus package should bring about robust growth in GDP in the second half of this year,” Wang said. “In addition, private investment will likely catch up, as the recovery in property sales remains strong and industrial profits recently registered significant improvement.”
Eric Fishwick, head of Economic Research at CLSA, said the PMI increases confirmed that growth was solidifying in manufacturing.
“Further improvement in export orders is a surprise, and domestic demand for manufacturing should continue to grow, as policy and the upturn in residential construction are gaining traction,” Fishwick said.
Both Wang and Fishwick expect the PMI to continue expanding in the coming months.
The production index under the official PMI strengthened to 57.1 in June from 56.9 in May, supported mainly by domestic demand, with new orders standing at 55.5 last month.
Economists said the decline in China’s exports should bottom out soon as new export orders reflected in the PMI rose to 51.4 in June, from 50.1 in May when they first entered expansionary territory.
The employment figure climbed back above 50 for the first time since last September, hitting 50.1 in June from 49.9 a month earlier, implying the country’s job-protection and creation policy is working.
China’s gross domestic product grew 6.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, the weakest pace since at least 1992. Economists generally expect better performance when second-quarter results are posted later this month.
The main concern is weak external demand. China’s exports fell 26.4 percent in May from a year earlier, a record low in at least 14 years.
CHINESE manufacturing continued its growth momentum for the fourth straight month in June, reinforcing optimism that an economic recovery may be under way, two surveys showed yesterday.
The official Purchasing Managers Index, compiled by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing as a measure of the nation’s manufacturing activities, reached 53.2 last month following a reading of 53.1 in May and 53.5 in April.
The figure has been above 50 – the threshold denoting expansion – for four consecutive months.
In addition, the brokerage firm CLSA said yesterday its China PMI rose to 51.8 in June from 51.2 in May, the highest level since July last year and the third straight month for the index to record growth.
“After softening slightly in May, China’s official PMI improved again last month and showed sequential economic expansion. We take it as a signal that the green shoots of economic recovery have strengthened and are likely to blossom in the second half of 2009,” said Wang Qing, a Morgan Stanley economist.
“Continuity of accommodative monetary and financial conditions and follow-through in the implementation of the fiscal stimulus package should bring about robust growth in GDP in the second half of this year,” Wang said. “In addition, private investment will likely catch up, as the recovery in property sales remains strong and industrial profits recently registered significant improvement.”
Eric Fishwick, head of Economic Research at CLSA, said the PMI increases confirmed that growth was solidifying in manufacturing.
“Further improvement in export orders is a surprise, and domestic demand for manufacturing should continue to grow, as policy and the upturn in residential construction are gaining traction,” Fishwick said.
Both Wang and Fishwick expect the PMI to continue expanding in the coming months.
The production index under the official PMI strengthened to 57.1 in June from 56.9 in May, supported mainly by domestic demand, with new orders standing at 55.5 last month.
Economists said the decline in China’s exports should bottom out soon as new export orders reflected in the PMI rose to 51.4 in June, from 50.1 in May when they first entered expansionary territory.
The employment figure climbed back above 50 for the first time since last September, hitting 50.1 in June from 49.9 a month earlier, implying the country’s job-protection and creation policy is working.
China’s gross domestic product grew 6.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, the weakest pace since at least 1992. Economists generally expect better performance when second-quarter results are posted later this month.
The main concern is weak external demand. China’s exports fell 26.4 percent in May from a year earlier, a record low in at least 14 years.
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China Securities Journal reported that market participants are concerned that recent steel price recovery may be short lived since the real steel demand remains slack, although the price rally has extended for ten straight weeks supported by stimulus package and production cut.
As many mills have restarted production in light of price improvement, maybe an overreaction by speculative buyers, which would again put the steel price under downward pressure.
The demand plunge has yet to reverse, and recent price recovery is the result of larger scale of production cut than the demand reduction, which has restored the market balance for the short term. However, the construction activity especially housing market continues to shrink, while many companies have slashed the capital spending significantly for the New Year, which would all suppress the steel demand.
Mr Matao Bohai Securities analyst said down-stream demand may not be that healthy as indicated by the rebounding steel prices. Leading mills have raised up the offer price around Jan in response to the price improvement and they are eager to offset the heavy loss in past months. Meanwhile, trading houses are more willing to restock at the moment. Nevertheless, most are more bearish on long products outlook on back of limited capacity addition and infrastructure oriented stimulus package.
The stimulus package is expected to provide a real demand boost for long products. Therefore, long products price is estimated to held steady or edge upward in days to come.
The steel output grows 15.4% from the month before in December of this, long products output expands 21.8%, while flat products production merely rises 9.97%. Market insiders warn that swelling supply of long products could weigh on prices downward since most sheet producers can readily switch to longs production.
Source: China Securities Journal
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China’s port construction, steel and power giants will pour 192.9 billion yuan (28 billion U.S. dollars) for infrastructure construction in Caofeidian, an island-turned development zone in the Bohai Bay in north China, according to the city government of Tangshan, which administrates the zone.
Xinhua’s source with the government said on Wednesday that 65 billion yuan of the investment will be used for 105 infrastructure projects this year.
The 50-sq km development zone in Hebei Province is 220 km to the east of Beijing. It has been designated as a model of China’s environment-friendly industrial base.
The projects under construction this year will equip the zone with 200 million tons of port handling capacity and an initial industrial production condition for key companies, such as the Beijing Capital Iron and Steel Group’s steel plant, which moved from the capital city’s urban area to Caofeidian in 2007.
The Caofeidian industrial zone was put on China’s list of pilot areas for recyclable economy in October 2005. Chinese President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao both paid visits to the zone. They expect it to become a demonstration area for scientific development and recyclable development.
Caofeidian has been mapped to become the country’s largest steel production base by 2010. An evaluation by the country’s environmental watchdog shows the steel plant will ensure 99.5 percent of solid waste and 97.5 percent of waste water are recycled.
State-owned giants like Petro China and Huadian Power Group have also made the zone their energy base.
Caofeidian, once a small sand spit in the Bohai Bay, has extended into a land of more than 50 square km through sea fillings since 2003. The frame of a modern city is beginning to take shape here as crowds of elite technicians and industrial workers swarm to the zone.
Source: Xinhua News Agency
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