Manufacturing maintains growth arc

July 2, 2009

CHINESE manufacturing continued its growth momentum for the fourth straight month in June, reinforcing optimism that an economic recovery may be under way, two surveys showed yesterday.
The official Purchasing Managers Index, compiled by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing as a measure of the nation’s manufacturing activities, reached 53.2 last month following a reading of 53.1 in May and 53.5 in April.
The figure has been above 50 – the threshold denoting expansion – for four consecutive months.
In addition, the brokerage firm CLSA said yesterday its China PMI rose to 51.8 in June from 51.2 in May, the highest level since July last year and the third straight month for the index to record growth.
“After softening slightly in May, China’s official PMI improved again last month and showed sequential economic expansion. We take it as a signal that the green shoots of economic recovery have strengthened and are likely to blossom in the second half of 2009,” said Wang Qing, a Morgan Stanley economist.
“Continuity of accommodative monetary and financial conditions and follow-through in the implementation of the fiscal stimulus package should bring about robust growth in GDP in the second half of this year,” Wang said. “In addition, private investment will likely catch up, as the recovery in property sales remains strong and industrial profits recently registered significant improvement.”
Eric Fishwick, head of Economic Research at CLSA, said the PMI increases confirmed that growth was solidifying in manufacturing.
“Further improvement in export orders is a surprise, and domestic demand for manufacturing should continue to grow, as policy and the upturn in residential construction are gaining traction,” Fishwick said.
Both Wang and Fishwick expect the PMI to continue expanding in the coming months.
The production index under the official PMI strengthened to 57.1 in June from 56.9 in May, supported mainly by domestic demand, with new orders standing at 55.5 last month.
Economists said the decline in China’s exports should bottom out soon as new export orders reflected in the PMI rose to 51.4 in June, from 50.1 in May when they first entered expansionary territory.
The employment figure climbed back above 50 for the first time since last September, hitting 50.1 in June from 49.9 a month earlier, implying the country’s job-protection and creation policy is working.
China’s gross domestic product grew 6.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, the weakest pace since at least 1992. Economists generally expect better performance when second-quarter results are posted later this month.
The main concern is weak external demand. China’s exports fell 26.4 percent in May from a year earlier, a record low in at least 14 years.
CHINESE manufacturing continued its growth momentum for the fourth straight month in June, reinforcing optimism that an economic recovery may be under way, two surveys showed yesterday.
The official Purchasing Managers Index, compiled by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing as a measure of the nation’s manufacturing activities, reached 53.2 last month following a reading of 53.1 in May and 53.5 in April.
The figure has been above 50 – the threshold denoting expansion – for four consecutive months.
In addition, the brokerage firm CLSA said yesterday its China PMI rose to 51.8 in June from 51.2 in May, the highest level since July last year and the third straight month for the index to record growth.
“After softening slightly in May, China’s official PMI improved again last month and showed sequential economic expansion. We take it as a signal that the green shoots of economic recovery have strengthened and are likely to blossom in the second half of 2009,” said Wang Qing, a Morgan Stanley economist.
“Continuity of accommodative monetary and financial conditions and follow-through in the implementation of the fiscal stimulus package should bring about robust growth in GDP in the second half of this year,” Wang said. “In addition, private investment will likely catch up, as the recovery in property sales remains strong and industrial profits recently registered significant improvement.”
Eric Fishwick, head of Economic Research at CLSA, said the PMI increases confirmed that growth was solidifying in manufacturing.
“Further improvement in export orders is a surprise, and domestic demand for manufacturing should continue to grow, as policy and the upturn in residential construction are gaining traction,” Fishwick said.
Both Wang and Fishwick expect the PMI to continue expanding in the coming months.
The production index under the official PMI strengthened to 57.1 in June from 56.9 in May, supported mainly by domestic demand, with new orders standing at 55.5 last month.
Economists said the decline in China’s exports should bottom out soon as new export orders reflected in the PMI rose to 51.4 in June, from 50.1 in May when they first entered expansionary territory.
The employment figure climbed back above 50 for the first time since last September, hitting 50.1 in June from 49.9 a month earlier, implying the country’s job-protection and creation policy is working.
China’s gross domestic product grew 6.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, the weakest pace since at least 1992. Economists generally expect better performance when second-quarter results are posted later this month.
The main concern is weak external demand. China’s exports fell 26.4 percent in May from a year earlier, a record low in at least 14 years.
Tags: , ,
Related Posts:

Contract Damages

June 20, 2009

Chinese contract law is far more flexible with respect to remedies than the common law since it is based on civil law. China makes no distinction between law and equity. As a result, in addition to money damages, Chinese law provides for specific performance, contract liquidated damages, deposit, loss of bargain damages and incidental damages. Most importantly, the use of one remedy does not exclude the application of another remedy. For example, if contract damages are not sufficient to compensate for a party’s actual damages, Article 114 of the Contract Law provides that the injured party can request that the court order payment of an amount sufficient to allow for complete relief. However, to prevent abuse, the reverse is also true. Contract Law Article 114 provides that where stipulated contract damages are “excessively higher than actual damages”, the defendant may request a reduction in the amount. Explanation 29 provides that an amount 130% higher than actual damages will generally be considered “excessively high.” However, the burden of proof in establishing the amount of actual damages is on the defendant. In the absence of clear proof, there is a strong tendency for Chinese courts to accept the stipulated contract damage amount.

Tags: , ,
Related Posts:

NIGHTMARE parking problems

February 1, 2009

NIGHTMARE parking problems could come to an end as plans are put forward to build a commuter car park.

People living in Theydon Bois have not been able to park outside their own front door because of restrictions introduced to prevent commuters leaving cars in the area.

And commuters have been forced to drive into work rather than use the tube because there is nowhere to park their cars.

But a man from Epping could solve all of their problems with his plans to construct up to 280 spaces next to Theydon Bois tube station.

George Dilloway owns the former Old Forester Club land off Abridge road and decided the area would be ideal for a car park.

He said: “The council haven’t provided any options for car parking in the area and at the moment about 60 people are already dumping their cars there illegally everyday because there is nowhere else for them to go with all the double yellow lines. It’s a major problem.”

Mr Dilloway is hoping that Transport for London will agree to open up the entrance to the tube station to make the car park even more accessible for commuters.

He added: “If they expanded the entrance it could be on the same side of the road as the car park.

“It would also help ease the commuter problem in other areas like Epping where parking is also a nightmare. If you’re not there by 6.30am there’s no spaces left.”

The plans were welcomed by residents.

Clive Cooper from Theydon Park Road is unable to park his car outside his home because of yellow line restrictions introduced to stop commuter parking.

He said: “The restrictions prevent us from parking on our road between 10am and 11am. But that means I can’t leave my car there during the day because I can’t very well come home and move it during that time.

“If the car park solves the problem and means that these restrictions can be lifted then it’s a good thing.

“I can’t get the train to work at the moment and have to take the car, it’s nonsense. It’s affecting everyone and has caused so much disruption. Something definitely needs to be done.”

Alison Harvey from Cloverly Road in Ongar used to park in Theydon Bois before the restrictions were put in place.

But she was forced to use a friend’s driveway in Epping to get to work when the yellow lines were introduced.

She said: “I’m on maternity leave now but before I left I couldn’t find anywhere to park and had to use my friend’s drive. I didn’t want to do that forever and I was looking into somewhere else to park when I go back to work.

“It will be great if they do make a car park and will certainly put my mind at rest.”

But not everyone welcomed the plans.

A spokeswoman from Theydon Bois Action Group (TBAG) said: “The business plan for the car park is unsustainable, the car park would be of no benefit to local people, it is too far from the station and it will cause traffic problems on a dangerous stretch of the Abridge Road.

“It will not alleviate parking problems in the village as commuters will continue to park for free on our roads.

“It would have to be lit and the access road stretching uphill will cause a significant loss of openness on the Green Belt.”

People have until January 20 to submit an opinion on the car park application.

Tags: , ,
Related Posts:

Weak Economy Cuts China’s Ansteel 2008 Net Profit 55%

January 31, 2009

China’s Angang Steel Co. Ltd. (Ansteel) said Wednesday net profit fell 55 percent last year to an estimated 3.42 billion yuan (about US$500 million) Ansteel prices plunged.

Ansteel, one of the country’s top three steel producers, issued the estimate in an unaudited statement to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, where it is listed.

The final figure indicates a loss of 4.83 billion yuan in the fourth quarter, as previous company data show net profits in the first three quarters totaled 8.25 billion yuan.

The decline reflected steep falls in steel prices and slow inventory movement starting in the second half, said the northeast-based company.

Steel prices in China plummeted in the second half as the deepening world economic slowdown weakened industrial growth and steel demand in the country.

The price of 6.5 mm carbon steel wire rods, a major steel product, was down more than 40 percent since June, Jia Yinsong, a Ministry of Industry and Information Technology official, told a forum earlier in January. Market data show the product was sold at about 3,400 yuan per ton.

The company also attributed the weak performance to the costs of buying raw materials and fuel at high prices earlier in 2008.

World crude oil prices are down more than 70 percent since peaking at 147 U.S. dollars per barrel in July. Earnings per share were estimated at 0.47 yuan in 2008, down 58 percent from in 2007, Ansteel said.

The company didn’t give a date for the release of its audited results, which under Chinese rules must be done within six months.

Source: Xinhua News Agency

Tags: , ,
Related Posts:

48 Major Steel Mills in The Red

January 2, 2009

About two thirds of China’s major steel mills were in the red in November, suffering from high prices in raw materials and the decreasing prices of steel products.
Forty-eight out of 71 large and medium-sized domestic steelmakers saw a loss in November (six more than in October), with total losses for the month in the neighborhood of 12.77 billion yuan, China Securities Journal reported yesterday citing anonymous sources.
Analysts largely contributed the loss to high iron ore prices and dropping steel prices, and they remained pessimistic for the mills’ performance in December.
Chinese steelmakers agreed to pay a record of $92 per ton for iron ore in the 2008 long-term contract, and steel prices have dropped about 40 percent since June as a result of the global financial crisis.
Authorities are considering measures including buying some steel products for reserves to help the industry through the rough time, Minister of Industry and Information Technology Li Yizhong recently said in Beijing.
Reports said the government would likely spend 10-15 billion yuan to establish a reserve of 3-5 million tons.
Some major steelmakers have increased steel prices on the news.
Angang Steel will raise the price of hot rolling steel by 350 yuan per ton from January; Shougang Group will rise by 300 yuan per ton and China’s largest steelmaker Baosteel will also raise product prices by 6 to 10 percent from February.
Analysts said building up stocks may provide some support to prices in the short term, but the policy could also mean producers take longer to emerge from the current slump in demand with a U-shaped recovery rather than a V-shaped bounce, since the government stocks may return to the market as prices recover.
The government could also increase export tax rebates on high-end steel products and will encourage industry reshuffling as well as innovation.

Source: China Steel Net.com

Tags: , ,
Related Posts: