China June car sales up 48.5% on year

July 9, 2009

China’s passenger car sales rose 48 per cent in June from the same month last year, consolidating a remarkable recovery that has catapulted China to top position in the world vehicle market so far this year, according to semi-official data released on Thursday.
The strength of China’s vehicle sales – total vehicles sales rose 18 per cent for the first half year to 6.1m from the same period last year – has surprised auto market analysts, government officials and even the country’s automakers, many of whom are scrambling to produce enough vehicles to meet demand. Some auto dealerships have reported shortages of vehicles and western automakers, such as Volkswagen and General Motors, have had to sharply increase production at their Chinese joint ventures to meet local demand.
Like other sectors of the Chinese economy, car industry growth this year was jump-started by the government, which in January announced tax breaks on small cars and subsidies for vehicle purchases in rural areas.
But car segments that were not targeted by tax breaks or subsidies also saw strong growth in sales, auto industry analysts said on Thursday.
High levels of bank lending are also believed to have helped spur demand. China on Wednesday announced that new lending in the first half was Rmb7,400bn ($1,084bn), up 201 per cent year-on-year and equal to 150 per cent of full-year lending in 2008.
Lending for car purchases had not risen – most Chinese buyers buy vehicles with cash – but higher levels of liquidity in general fed through to more corporate purchases of vehicles, analysts said.
General consumer confidence was also a strong factor in sales growth, said Mike Dunne, of the auto consultancy JD Power in Shanghai.
“The government is putting out a strong message that the financial crisis is concentrated in the US, but we in China are doing just fine. The world might be hurting, but not us,” he said.
He added that the impact of that message on car buyers “should not be underestimated”.
JD Power recently revised its 2009 forecast for Chinese passenger car sales to 7m, from 5.8m at the beginning of the year, and said that a further upward revision is possible.
Total vehicle sales rose 36 per cent in June year-on-year, the official Xinhua news agency said on Thursday, quoting figures from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.
It was the fourth month in a row that sales had exceeded 1.1m units.
The strength of the Chinese market is providing a rare ray of hope for western automakers already operating in China, and attracting companies like Fiat, long a laggard in China, to the market.
Earlier this week, Fiat signed a joint venture agreement with Guangzhou Automobile Group to make cars and engines in China from 2011. Fiat and GAC said the venture would have the capacity to produce 140,000 cars and 220,000 engines per year initially, but could later be expanded to produce as much as 250,000 cars and 300,000 engines annually.
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Taxes cut in effort to lift exports

June 23, 2009

CHINA will reduce or eliminate export taxes on nearly 100 categories of goods including some agricultural products and fertilizers starting next month in its latest move to help the country’s flagging trade sector.
The cuts are the first outright tax reductions since December 2008 and follow seven increases in export tax rebates since August.
While the policies give at least some relief to the nation’s struggling exporters, they contribute little to fixing the main problem: restoring external demand, industry analysts said.
The Ministry of Finance said yesterday that 31 types of goods such as wheat, rice and soya beans will be exempted from export taxes starting July 1.
Direct, effective
Large tax reductions will apply to another 60 categories of products, including fertilizer and chemicals. The tax on phosphate fertilizer, for instance, will be cut from 75 percent to 10 percent.
“The move, similar to the previous increases in export tax rebates, is an obvious bid to counter the falling trade,” said Xue Jun, an analyst at Changjiang Securities Co. “A tax cut is more direct and effective than rebates and enhances cash flow.”
A tax cut is immediate, while exporters have to wait to receive a tax rebate.
“The frequency of these moves illustrates that the Chinese government still attaches great importance to exports, though domestic demand is considered key to the country’s economic recovery,” Xue said.
China’s May exports fell 26.4 percent from a year earlier to US$88.8 billion, the worst drop in at least 14 years. Last month, China announced it would raise tax rebates on more than 600 types of exports, including machinery, toys, plastic products and steel. Total rebates amounted to 102.9 billion yuan (US$15.1 billion) in the first quarter, up 18.4 percent from a year earlier.
Vice Commerce Minister Zhong Shan said China will spare no effort to protect the country’s share of the global market.
“China’s trade will suffer a retreat this year and experience slow growth in the coming years,” Zhong said in an article published in the Economic Daily yesterday. “We should go all out to stabilize trade. The focal point should be to avoid losing share in the global market. It is of great importance to keep companies alive and make jobs available, which lays the foundation for the expansion of domestic demand.”
Despite falling volume, Zhong said it may be possible for China to raise its share of global trade.
He said Chinese exports last year accounted for 8.86 percent of the world’s total exports in terms of value, still below the level of export giants Germany and the United States, which each hold around 12 percent of global market share.
At a time when people are slashing spending, China should be able to benefit because the country sells more necessities than luxuries.
CHINA will reduce or eliminate export taxes on nearly 100 categories of goods including some agricultural products and fertilizers starting next month in its latest move to help the country’s flagging trade sector.
The cuts are the first outright tax reductions since December 2008 and follow seven increases in export tax rebates since August.
While the policies give at least some relief to the nation’s struggling exporters, they contribute little to fixing the main problem: restoring external demand, industry analysts said.
The Ministry of Finance said yesterday that 31 types of goods such as wheat, rice and soya beans will be exempted from export taxes starting July 1.
Direct, effective
Large tax reductions will apply to another 60 categories of products, including fertilizer and chemicals. The tax on phosphate fertilizer, for instance, will be cut from 75 percent to 10 percent.
“The move, similar to the previous increases in export tax rebates, is an obvious bid to counter the falling trade,” said Xue Jun, an analyst at Changjiang Securities Co. “A tax cut is more direct and effective than rebates and enhances cash flow.”
A tax cut is immediate, while exporters have to wait to receive a tax rebate.
“The frequency of these moves illustrates that the Chinese government still attaches great importance to exports, though domestic demand is considered key to the country’s economic recovery,” Xue said.
China’s May exports fell 26.4 percent from a year earlier to US$88.8 billion, the worst drop in at least 14 years. Last month, China announced it would raise tax rebates on more than 600 types of exports, including machinery, toys, plastic products and steel. Total rebates amounted to 102.9 billion yuan (US$15.1 billion) in the first quarter, up 18.4 percent from a year earlier.
Vice Commerce Minister Zhong Shan said China will spare no effort to protect the country’s share of the global market.
“China’s trade will suffer a retreat this year and experience slow growth in the coming years,” Zhong said in an article published in the Economic Daily yesterday. “We should go all out to stabilize trade. The focal point should be to avoid losing share in the global market. It is of great importance to keep companies alive and make jobs available, which lays the foundation for the expansion of domestic demand.”
Despite falling volume, Zhong said it may be possible for China to raise its share of global trade.
He said Chinese exports last year accounted for 8.86 percent of the world’s total exports in terms of value, still below the level of export giants Germany and the United States, which each hold around 12 percent of global market share.
At a time when people are slashing spending, China should be able to benefit because the country sells more necessities than luxuries.
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China imports record volume of iron ore in March

April 17, 2009

April 14 (Xinhua) — China’s steel industry overestimated the country’s demand for iron ore and as a result imported a record high amount of the material in March.

A surge of domestic steel output and price increases in the beginning of 2009 raised market expectations. Many domestic steel mills and traders increased orders for iron ore in February and March as they anticipated demand would continue growing, said Liang Shuhe, deputy-director with the Foreign Trade Department of the Ministry of Commerce (MOC), at an industry conference in the port city of Tianjin Monday.

China’s iron ore imports topped 52.08 million tonnes in March, setting a monthly record high. It beat the last record which was just set in February. That’s when the country imported 46.74 million tonnes of iron ore.

In the first quarter, China imported a total of 130 million tonnes of iron ore. In 2008, iron ore imports totaled 440 million tonnes.

“The imports in March mostly came from orders made in February. Iron ore was priced at 80 U.S. dollars a tonne then, but dwindled to 60 U.S. dollars a tonne now. It means huge unrealized losses for steel mills and traders who betted on price hikes,” said Du Wei, an analyst on iron ore with Umetal.com.

Those unrealized losses for the 52.08 million tonnes of iron ore imported in March could be about 1 billion U.S. dollars, Du said.

Liang said iron ore prices were hinged to steel prices.

“Domestic steel prices have dropped and will further dwindle. Thus it’s inevitable for iron ore prices to go down,” Liang said.

Iron ore stockpiled at ports stood at 70 million tonnes in March, nearing a historic high, according to anonymous sources within the China Chamber of Commerce of Metals, Minerals and Chemicals Importers and Exporters.

Due to declining iron ore prices, an increasing number of domestic iron ore mines are closing down, said Zhang Ye, deputy-general-manager of China National Minerals Co., Ltd.. No specific figures were available.

“About 90 percent of China’s iron ore mines are suffering from losses,” Du said. “Steel is a kind of product that could be recycled and thus its scarcity could not be exacerbated in the long term.”

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China’s industrial output grows in first 2 months

April 6, 2009

CHINA’S industrial output rose 5.2 percent year on year in the first two months of 2009, with growth slowing from December, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said in Beijing yesterday.

The figure was 0.5 percentage points lower than in December, dragged down by plummeting exports and high inventories, according to MIIT.

In February alone, however, industrial output expanded 11 percent from a year earlier, showing that the downtrend appeared to be easing.

Light and heavy industries grew 6.5 percent and 2.7 percent in the two-month period, 1.6 percentage points and 2 percentage points below the respective December figures.

Major industrial exports fell 17.1 percent to 896.8 billion yuan (US$131.3 billion). That represented a 31.9-percentage-point decline from the 2008 level, MIIT said.

Qi Jingmei, an economist with the State Information Center, told Xinhua the figures showed that the Chinese industry was still feeling the impact of the global downturn.

Figures from the National Bureau of Statistics also reflected the impact of the downturn. Profits of major industrial firms shrank 37.3 percent year on year during the first two months of 2009, the bureau said on Friday.

Falling exports also caused declines in light industries like textiles, which in turn affected the upstream sectors, according to Gao Shanwen, chief economist of Essence Securities.

But increases in fixed asset investment, new loans and retail sales in the first two months would help offset the slide in industrial output, Qi said.

Retail sales grew 15.2 percent in the first two months to 2 trillion yuan, while urban fixed asset investment rose 26.5 percent year on year to 1.027 trillion yuan, the bureau said.

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Non-ferrous metal industry sees signs of rebound

March 20, 2009

China’s non-ferrous metal industry is showing some signs of recovery with major companies recording narrower losses, an industry association official said on Thursday.Sixty-nine of the country’s leading 73 non-ferrous companies recorded a combined loss of 3.8 billion yuan ($556 million) in the Jan-Feb period, according to Kang Yi, chairman of the China Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Association (CNIA).

The average monthly net loss, or 1.9 billion yuan, is much lower than the loss of 5.9 billion yuan major metal companies recorded in December 2008, Kang said, adding 53 metal companies saw their losses narrow during the first two months of this year.

For the 2008 full year, the industry earned a profit of about 80 billion yuan, down 45 percent compared with 2007, according to the association.

Source: China Daily

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